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Model validation

A model is ready for sign-off, and the model-risk team will review every test. Prove a model works, is stable, and can be explained, before anyone relies on it.

7 steps · 8 tools (2 free) · for risk analysts at banks and NBFCs

Tools you will use

This playbook is free to read. The prompt for each step is inside its tool. See the Pro tools.

Schema profile builderFree
Definition libraryFree
Discrimination testsModel validation
Calibration testsModel validation
Stability testsModel validation
Out-of-time and backtestingModel validation
Explainability and fairnessModel validation
Model documentationModel validation

Check these first

Each tool asks the same questions and gives you a prompt to build whatever is missing.

Model scores on a period the model never saw?
Have itDon't have it
Outcomes for those accounts?
Have itNot yet matured
Model documentation started?
YesNo

The steps, in order

Each step names the tool to open.

Set up

01
Tell the tools your table names

Score, outcome and date fields.

FreeSchema profile builderFreeDefinition library

Test

02
Discrimination

Does it rank good and bad apart?

Discrimination tests
03
Calibration

Do predicted rates match actual rates?

Calibration tests
04
Stability

Does it behave the same across time?

Stability tests
05
Out-of-time test

Test on a period the model never saw.

Out-of-time and backtesting

Explain and document

06
Explainability and fairness

Reasons for a score, and checks across groups.

Explainability and fairness
07
Model documentation

What the validation team asks for first.

Model documentation

Check before you send

  • Discrimination holds up on the out-of-time sample, not only on the build sample.
  • Calibration is checked by score band, not only overall.
  • Every test result is saved with the date and the data used.
  • Findings are written with a severity and an owner.

Warning signs

Performance drops sharply out of time: the model learned the build period, not the customer.
Stability looks fine overall but one segment has drifted.

What you hand over

A validation report with test results, findings and documentation for model-risk review.

In your profile

Once you are signed in, your profile shows which steps you can run with the tools you own, and which tools you still need.

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